MANIFOLD
Will SBF, Ryan Salame, or Caroline Ellison place a trade on a prediction market within a year after their release?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ25
2048
52%
chance

  • Update 2026-03-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves based on whether each person places a trade within one year after their individual release date (not a single shared deadline).

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How does this resolve? By 2027 if we know?

@Qoiuoiuoiu ah, sorry, the ai set the close date wrong. the title should say "a year after each one's release but it was too long"

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