Who will win the GD Politics 2028 Democratic Primary Draft (Jan 2026 version)
4
Ṁ100Ṁ442028
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
56%
Galen Druke
30%
Clare Malone
14%
Nate Silver
Galen Druke, Nate Silver, and Clare Malone did a live 2028 Democratic Primary Draft in January 2026. This will resolve to the winner according to their own rules. If a winner is announced, I will use that; otherwise I'll do my best to score it myself. I will not trade on this market.
The scoring rules:
25 points - becomes nominee at convention
5 points - officially run
5 points - make it to first state
3 points per state/territory/Democrats Abroad won
2 bonus points after Super Tuesday (I think this is per state won after Super Tuesday)
1 bonus point for winning a swing state
10 points for picking last (Clare)
5 points for picking second (Nate)
The picks:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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