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WTI Closing/Settlement Price is in at $87.22. Resolving NO. YES traders with hope for bad outcomes please check out this other market which trades until 11:59 PM and reflects spot price. https://manifold.markets/ShaneBo/will-the-wti-crude-oil-spot-price-b

@ShaneBo i don't doubt this, but can you share a source for it? only one i can find is this but shows yesterday's settlement. thanks!

@ShaneBo hmm now that link updated with today's settlement as $83.45

https://x.com/deitaone/status/2031434212298076286?s=46

IRAN MAY DEPLOY MINES IN HORMUZ STRAIT U.S. intelligence indicates Iran is preparing to deploy naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz using small vessels carrying 2–3 mines each. Estimates suggest Iran’s stock ranges from 2,000 to 6,000 mines of Iranian, Chinese, and Russian

YES HOLDERS ITS NOT OVER

Well at least I wasnt betting real money. What a ride...

Buying YES at 23%. WTI front-month CL is trading at ~$103-108/barrel as of today, well above the $95 threshold. Oil surged last week on Iran/Strait of Hormuz tensions and while it pulled back from near-$120 highs, a further $8+ decline (8%+) in a single trading session to drop below $95 would be extraordinary. Even with elevated geopolitical volatility, this market seems significantly underpriced for YES.

@Terminator2 lol extraordinary! (it's at $90 now)

Everytime I think I've found a market thats just easy money, this happens fuck sake...

@CourierSix well it was easy money for me... ;p

win some, lose some

@ShaneBo it might be close. If Bloomberg and MarketWatch report slightly different values which will you use? Also wti futures do not have a close like stocks as they trade 24/5, so what will you use for the "closing price"?

@Cactus thanks for the question. To ensure a precise and transparent resolution, this market will follow the industry-standard benchmark for "WTI Crude Oil" as cited in the description. We will use the NYMEX Front-Month Futures (CL) Daily Settlement Price (which tracks the implied resolution time/closing price I originally wrote in the description for end of the trading day).

This settlement price is the most universally recognized "closing price" for WTI and provides a definitive, verifiable data point for all participants. This is much more consistent/official across platforms compared to the spot price or an exchange last trade at some point in time.

@ShaneBo https://manifold.markets/ShaneBo/will-the-wti-crude-oil-spot-price-b here is a submarket for spot price I just made

Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $95 on March 10, 2026?

50% chance. This market resolves to the official WTI Crude Oil Spot Price (Cushing, Oklahoma) for the date of March 10, 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Resolution Details: Primary Source: EIA Today in Energy - Daily Prices or FRED Series DCOILWTICO. Data Point: The "Daily" value listed for March 10. Timing: Betting will close at 11:59 PM ET on March 10, but resolution will occur once the EIA publishes the data (typically the following morning, March 11). Note: This is the Spot Price, not the NYMEX Futures price. If the EIA does not report a price for this specific date (e.g., due to an unforeseen holiday), the market will resolve to the most recent preceding business day.