MANIFOLD
20
Ṁ600Ṁ1.5k
Apr 30
88%
Will any player reach the time-control (move 40) with less than a minute on their clock?
81%
Will Matthias Bluebaum win a game?
76%
Will 1. e4 be the most common opening move?
66%
Will there be a player with more black wins than white wins?
60%
Will the players under 30 years old score more wins than those above 30?
59%
Will there be a player with more white losses than black losses?
48%
Will any game last 100 or more moves?
47%
Will a player from Asia (Pragg, Sindarov, Wei Yi) win the Candidates?
40%
Will there be a round with all decisive games?
40%
Will Matthias Bluebaum finish last?
40%
Will the winner be on +5 or more (wins minus losses)?
39%
Will an American Player (Fabiano or Hikaru) win the Candidates?
38%
Will a player over 30 win the Candidates Tournament?
36%
Will any game begin with a move other than 1. e4, d4, c4, or Nf3?
35%
Will the winner go undefeated?
28%
Will the winner win with a round (or more) to spare?
27%
Will Fabiano Caruana win the Candidates Tournament?
27%
Will Anish Giri have the most drawn games or tie for the most drawn games of any player?
23%
Will Hikaru win the Candidates Tournament?
18%
Will a player from Europe (Giri, BlueBaum, Esipenko) win the Candidates?
Market context
Competitive Gaming
Chess
Magnus Carlsen
Board Games
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A big tip of the hat to @RedzoneITG who seems to have a veritable inexhaustible supply of Prop questions!!

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