In the last year, I've gained quite a bit of weight (up from 185 lbs in August to a little over 225 lbs now), due to having fallen off the wagon. I've decided to try to diet to get my weight back down as far as possible before the end of the year.

In order for a milestone to be reached, my weekly average (measured Monday-Sunday, posted on the following Monday) must be equal to or below the milestone; if I dip below a milestone for a single daily weigh-in but the weekly average doesn't meet the milestone, it doesn't count. Once a milestone is reached, it resolves YES immediately; it doesn't matter if my weight then rebounds to above the milestone.

On January 1st, any unmet milestones immediately resolve NO.

I will be betting, but I will only buy YES shares, and I will never sell them.

You can ask any relevant questions in the comments and I will do my best to answer them.

I am in my mid 30s. I am 6'0" (technically 5' 11.75", but you can pry that last quarter inch from my cold, dead hands). I started this diet at 227.7 lbs on March 9th (weekly average from the previous week). I will update this description every Monday with my average weight from the previous week.

2026-03-09: 227.7 lbs