If AGI causes human extinction before 2100, which type of misalignment will be the biggest cause? | Manifold

If AGI causes human extinction before 2100, which type of misalignment will be the biggest cause?

5

Ṁ140Ṁ75

2100

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

24%

Inner Misalignment

24%

Outer Misalignment

25%

Multipolar Competition

27%

Intentional Misuse (ChaosGPT, etc.)

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You cant really look at it in retrospect so this can never be resolved, but i think intentional misuse

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Assuming a misaligned AI outbreak inadvertently kill >1 million people by 2035, who will be at fault?

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Will we get AGI before 2034?

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