Personal info: I'm 23, engaged, and planning to get married in the next ~1.5 years. My fiancé and I want three kids. I have no serious corporate career ambitions and would happily be a stay-at-home mom. We have a comfortable dual income and we save a lot. We will probably raise our first child in Toronto or a similar urban area. I previously wanted to be a mom in my mid-twenties, but now that I've moved to a bigger city I'm enjoying my irresponsible life and would now put the odds I give birth before age thirty at 40-60%, which is a pretty big window. It might end up coming down to the specific life circumstances I'm in at age twenty-seven, which is hard to predict.

Fertility info: No known fertility issues. I have a history of very painful, heavy periods but no formal diagnosis even after ultrasounds for endometriosis. No other significant health issues. I currently have a copper IUD that I've had for ~2 years. I don't have concrete plans to remove it yet, and it won't expire for many years so I'll need to make a conscious decision spanning a number of days to get it removed.

I think there's roughly a 50/50 chance we pursue IVF with preimplantation genetic screening (elective). If we go the IVF/PGS route, that adds lead time to when I'm able to start getting pregnant and also will reduce the likelihood I rush to get pregnant.

Resolution criteria:

• Resolves YES if I give birth (live birth) before my 30th birthday.

  Resolves NO if I turn 30 without having given live birth.

  Resolves N/A only if the market becomes unresolvable (e.g., I permanently leave Manifold).

I will try to provide updates as they come.

updates:
You should note that this market was created because I started smelling things very intensely in the past ~3 days which prompted me to think about the probability I get pregnant in the short- and medium-term, but I don't actually think I am pregnant now (no other symptoms, copper IUD, got my period two weeks ago.)