Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
28
Ṁ1kṀ2.7kDec 31
Anthropic63%
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?
36% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
38% chance
Will Anthropic’s revenue run rate overtake OpenAI’s in 2026
43% chance
Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of March 2026?
1% chance
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
17% chance
Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
13% chance
When will Anthropic IPO?
3/24/27
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
51% chance