Will an LLM score >=85% on FrontierMath Tier 4 before 2028?
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FrontierMath: LLM Benchmark for Advanced AI Math Reasoning | Epoch AI
This market will be resolved as YES if the accuracy of any LLM on the Tier 4 leaderboard will be 85.0% or higher before Jan 1, 2028.
Note that confidence intervals are ignored for the purpose of this market. For example, 85.0%±10.0% counts and the market will be resolved, whereas 80.0%±10.0% doesn't count. Also, Tiers 1-3 are not relevant for this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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