Democratic odds of senate control on Tuesday November 4 2026?
3
Ṁ1.3kṀ1.8kNov 4
95%
20.00% or higher
94%
25.00% or higher
91%
30.00% or higher
86%
33.00% or higher
84%
36.00% or higher
78%
38.00% or higher
68%
40.00% or higher
48%
45.00% or higher
41%
50.00% or higher
37%
55.00% or higher
28%
60.00% or higher
16%
70.00% or higher
10%
80.00% or higher
https://electionbettingodds.com/Senate-Control-2026.html
Electionbettingodds uses odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket and Kalshi to give an accurate overview of the odds.
On Tuesday November 4 at 3am ET I’ll check election betting odds, and resolve this market based on odds of Democratic Party senate control.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
32% chance
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
43% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
In which election cycle will Democrats next win control of the Senate?
Tipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?
Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?
43% chance
Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections?
95% chance
Democrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026?
3% chance